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Pick of the day #54: Falkenberg – Hammarby

April 25, 2013

Falkenbergs FF hosts Hammarby IF tonight in the Swedish second league (Superettan) and I have a strong feeling that there will be goals here.

Falkenberg has done tremendously well so far with three straight wins (2-0, 2-1, 1-0). Thus, they have scored in each game (veteran striker Stefan Rodevåg has scored three!) but only conceded once. Statistically the over bet seems stupid here, but I believe that Hammarby will find the net tonight!

Hammarby has a very strong team on paper, but they usually have great problems to use all the skills in their squad. This season they started with two drawn games (0-0 and 1-1), but got an impressive win against Örebro (2-1) in their last game. Importantly the reports from the game say that striker partners Billy Schuler and Erik Sundin played well and Sundin found the net once. I have a strong feeling that Sundin will continue to do well here.

My guess tonight is 2-2, but I will not be surprised if one of the teams find the goals three times tonight!

Because of the results so far the over bet is well played tonight, and I see value here. I place one unit on over three goals (Asian). I think that the pitch is in doubtful conditions in Falkenberg and that is why I only place one unit (moreover the allowed wager is limited at MarathonBet).

———————————————

Game: Falkenberg – Hammarby

Bet: Over 3.0 goals (Asian line)

Odds: 2.875 (MarathonBet)

Wager: 1 unit (of 4)

Results:

Units in total: -4.16

ROI: 96.41%

Total wins-voids-losses: 24-4-24

From → Pick of the day

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