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Pick of the day #52: Sandsbro – Ryssby

April 17, 2013

My old friend Daniel Nilsson has found a very good bet on Friday. Ryssby have lost almost all their players from last year and are tipped to struggle heavily this season. Moreover, class forward Dennis Martinsson will miss the first two games of the season and there should be very good value in a Sandsbro win.

Here are Daniels last three tweets (in Swedish, use a translator if needed):

In och fynda alla! 1.85 på Sandsbro mot Ryssby i div 4 Småland Sydvästra premiären! Ryssby kommer få riktiga problem denna säsong! >>>

Man har endast kvar 3-4 spelare från förra året! Enda riktigt bra spelaren Dennis Martinsson bommar de 2 inledande matcherna! >>>

Sista halvtimmen varje träning spelar vi mot just Ryssby & jag kan säga att det blir nog ingen rolig säsong för dem!😦 Håll koll på Ryssby

I have no idea about Sandsbro’s strength yet and will stick to 2.5 units.

UPDATE:

  1. A friend of mine who plays for Ryssby texts me that the odds is fantastic. He reckons reckons the chance of a Sandsbro win is around 90%!
  2. Odds down to 1.65. I think that there is value in that too.
  3. Sandsbro won their last friendly away to Forsheda (the game was played in Värnamo) with 1-0. Coach Thomas Andersson sums it up as a solid team performance. Overall Sandsbro have shown decent results in the friendlies.
  4. Thursday morning and the price for a Sandsbro win is down at 1.55.

———————————————

Game: Sandsbro – Ryssby

Bet: Sandsbro win

Odds: 1.85 (NordicBet)

Wager: 2.5 units (of 4)

Results: 1-1, -2.5 units

Units in total: -5.60

ROI: 95.04%

Total wins-voids-losses: 23-4-24

From → Pick of the day

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