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Pick of the day #45: Airbus UK – Prestatyn Town

March 29, 2013

I think MarathonBet offers a very good price for Airbus UK Broughton FC in their clash with Prestatyn Town tomorrow. Other bookmakers have prices for Airbus -1 (Asian) below 2.00, but Marathon offers 2.10.

After two straight losses (in tough games) The Wingmakers bounced back in their last game (2-0 at home to Port Talbot) and now have a great chance to grab the runners up position in the Welsh league and qualify for Europe. Last week they had a game postponed due to snow and should come in great shape tomorrow.

Very important midfielder Tom Field is serving his second game in a three match suspension after his red card against third placed Bangor City. That is a major blow, but I believe that Airbus is in far better shape than Prestatyn.

Prestatyn Town have awful form and no win in nine games. In two of these games they lost big at home to Airbus. In a game in January, Airbus got 6-1 and in another one in February they got 4-0! Let us hope the game in March will end with something similar…

Airbus at home: 8-2-3 (32-14)
Prestatyn away: 3-5-6 (27-37)

We observe that there is a great chance of a couple of goals here and over 2.5 is only priced around 1.35. Over 3.5 is priced at 2.09 at best (Betsafe) and could be valuable.

UPDATE:

The prices for Airbus have gone down tremendously today. MarathonBet is still highest and offers 1.84 for Airbus -1 (Asian). As a comparison Bet365 offers 1.70.

(Prestatyn +1 is priced at 2.10 and with 2 units on that bet we would have made a small profit. I stick to Airbus -1 though.)

———————————————

Game: Airbus UK – Prestatyn Town

Bet: Airbus -1 (Asian)

Odds: 2.10 (MarathonBet)

Wager: 2 units (of 4)

Results: 4-1, +2.20 units

Units in total: -4.06

ROI: 95.88%

Total wins-voids-losses: 20-3-22

From → Pick of the day

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