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Pick of the day #43: Vestel Manisaspor – Göztepe Izmir

March 23, 2013

I believe that I found two games with some value in Turkey today. The first game has already reached half time and that is Kartalspor vs 1461 Trabzon where I have gone for Trabzon over 1.5 goals to 2.45 at Marathon. The score is 0-1 in half time…

The other game is Vestel Manisaspor vs Göztepe Izmir and I go for the home team.

Manisaspor is placed second in the Turkish second league (18 teams) and looks for promotion. Their record at home is rather impressive with W8-D4-L1 (22-6 in goals). Their form is descent with W4-D3-L2 in 2013. At home they have 3-1-0 in the same period. Their last game bothers me a bit though, in that game they lost (away) to Tavsanli Linyitspor who sits just above Göztepe in the table.

There are no big injury worries in Manisaspor what I have found. Defender Balioglu is the only player that is missed.

Göztepe sit in the relegation zone at the moment with only 26 points in 26 games. Away from home they have 3-0-10 (8-23). Their three wins have been against other teams in the bottom half of the table. In November they defeated Sanliurfaspor (0-2) who sit 13th in the table (of 18 teams) and have rather weak home stats. In December they won against 10th placed Gaziantep BB (0-2), but the home team got a player sent off early in that game. Göztepe’s last away victory came against 15th placed Tavsanli Linyitspor (0-1) the day before Christmas Eve. After that they have lost four straight away games. In their last game they defeated Karsiyaka (currently in 8th position in the table) with 3-2 at home, but in that game the away team got two players sent off in the second half (at 2-2).

Göztepe has some problems with missed players to this game. Bektas (Mf), Sari (Gk), Akbunar (Mf), Kizilkaya (Df), and Weeks (Mf) should all be unavailable.

The two teams have played each other once this season. In November Manisaspor won with 1-0 in Göztepe.

———————————————

Game: Vestel Manisaspor – Göztepe Izmir

Bet: Manisaspor -1 (Asian)

Odds: 2.025 (Bet365)

Wager: 2 units (of 4)

Results: 0-1, -2 units

Units in total: -6.26

ROI: 93.38%

Total wins-voids-losses: 19-2-22

From → Pick of the day

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