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Pick of the day #35: Juventus – Celtic

March 6, 2013

I have way to much to do at work at the moment. Therefore, I don’t have time to analyse games on my own and will mostly pick games that other have found (but I have of course thought them through thoroughly).

Today I back @DavidKryssman and friends (#publicbet) with Celtic over 3.5 corners @1.80 (Bet365, but also other bookies, e.g. Betsafe, offer the same line and price) in their away game against Juventus. We believe that Celtic will give it a real try and attack from the very first minute and 3.5 corners seems very probable. Samaras will hopefully start the game, which should be very good for our bet.

I stick to only 2 units though. Corner bets are always a bit tricky. An early Juventus goal might cause Celtic to stop attacking for example.

UPDATE:

The prices for Celtic over 3.5 corners have decreased. I have summed up the prices below for some bookies (at 17.00 CET), and I must say that over 4.5 @2.55 at Bwin interests me. I put in another unit on that.

Bet365: Over 3.5 is priced at 1.61.

Betsafe: Over 3.5 is priced at 1.70.

Bwin: Over 4.5 is priced at 2.55(!).

Ladbrokes: Over 3.5 is priced at 1.70 and over 4.5 at 2.25.

———————————————

Game: Juventus – Celtic

Bet: Celtic over 3.5 corners & over 4.5 corners

Odds: 1.80 (Bet365) & 2.55 (Bwin)

Wager: 2+1 units (of 4)

Result: 1-3 in corners

Units in total: +5.79

ROI: 107.5%

Total wins-voids-losses: 17-2-16

From → Pick of the day

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