Pick of the day #8: Karlskoga – Karlskrona
It was a good ice hockey day yesterday I will continue with a bet on ice hockey today.
BIK Karlskoga, second in the Swedish Hockeyallsvenska (second league), host Karskrona HC, rock bottom in the table with only 23 points after 36 games.
The difference in quality is huge betweeen the two teams and Karlskoga should win this rather easily. They have struggled slightly lately, but come from an impressive away win at Malmö (3-1).
Karlskrona won against my former team IF Troja/Ljungby four matches ago. In that game Troja were very weak according to my reports. After that win Karlskrona have three straight defeats, Södertälje away (5-2), Mora at home (0-2, in a game that Mora played without their NHL signings), and Oskarshamn away (5-2).
Karlskoga at home (wins-draws-losses full time): 13-1-3 (58-31 in goals).
Karskrona away: 1-2-17 (26-77).
In Karslkoga will no changes be made in the squad since last game. They have had Björn Kindahl out lately and he will soon be back, not to this game though. Top goal scorer Henrik Björklund have missed the last four games and will be out, which is of course a big blow.
Karlskrona got Martin Janolhs on loan from Leksand since last game. Three forwards were missed against Oskarshamn, Andreas Elofsson, Jonny Ågren, and Tomi Pöllänen.
Despite the injury on Henrik Björklund should Karlskrona not stand a chance at Karskoga and I place a handicap bet here. I had great problems to decide the line here, but finally went for -2.5, which I would have placed below 2.00. We get 2.07 at Pinnacle Sports and that is worth 2 units.
Game: Karlskoga – Karlskrona
Bet: Handicap Karlskoga (-2.5)
Odds: 2.07 (Pinnacle)
Wager: 2 units (scale 1-4)
Result: 4-2, -2 units
Units in total (2013): -0.98
Total wins-voids-losses (2013): 4-0-4