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Pick of the day #2 (2013): Newcastle – Everton

January 2, 2013

Yesterday I thought all day about picking over 2.5 goals in today’s clash between Newcastle and Everton and finally decided to put in one unit on that bet. No time for a long motivation since I’m back to work, but both teams score regularly. Both teams to score is paid too low (below 1.60) and I see better value in the over bet today. Pinnacle offers 1.81 and that is at least a bit too high in my opinion.

There is of course a risk that Newcastle will focus on their defensive play today after being humiliated against Arsenal, therefore I stick to only one unit.

Newcastle still have a lot of injuries in their back four. Everton have Fellaini back. See here for the team news.

UPDATE: I guess that you all got the news that Demba Ba is on his way to Chelsea and will not play tonight. This is of course no good news for my bet since he has scored 13 of Newcastle’s 26 goals this season. Let us hope that Newcastle can manage to score at least once anyway.

———————————————-

Game: Newcastle – Everton

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.81 (Pinnacle)

Wager: 1 units (scale 1-4)

Result: 1-2, +0.81 units

Units in total (2013): -1.19

Total wins-voids-losses (2013): 1-0-1

From → Pick of the day

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