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Pick of the day #44: Admira Wacker – SV Ried

December 7, 2012

Here is an early pick for Saturday. Admira Wacker host SV Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga. Both teams are usually involved in games with many goals and I think I have found a good bet here. Over 2.5 goals is currently priced at 1.79 at Pinnacle.

Stats and team news Admira Wacker

Total: 18 games with 4 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses, and 30-36 in goals (average 3.67 goals per game).

At home: 9 games with 3 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, and 23-19 in goals (average 4.67 goals per game!).

Players out: GK Patrick Tischler (18 games) suspended. Striker Issiaka Quedraogo (11 games, 4 goals, 4 assists) injured since 16 Nov.

Stats and team news SV Ried

Total: 18 games with 7 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses, and 32-31 in goals (average 3.50 goals per game).

At home: 9 games with 3 wins, 1 draws, 5 losses, and 17-21 in goals (average 4.22 goals per game!).

Players out: Defender Marcel Ziegl (17 games) suspended, Defender Thomas Reifeltshammer (18 games) suspended, Midfielder Thomas Hinum (15 games) injured since 11 Nov.

Conclusion

The statistics certainly indicate that many goals will be scored in this game. Moreover, Admira Wacker have their first choice goalkeeper out today and SV Reid have two regular defenders out. I was first planning a max bet here (10/10 units), but stick to 7 units. There are two reasons for this choice. First, my recent stats at over bets are not very good. Second, there will be cold in Mödling tomorrow. The forecast says -3 degrees Celsius and a small risk of snow.

—————————————–

Game: Admira Wacker – SV Ried

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.79 (Pinnacle)

Value: 7 units

Result: 0-3, +5.53 units

Units in total: -2.23

Total wins-voids-losses: 22-5-17

From → Pick of the day

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