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Pick of the day #41: Barcelona – Benfica

December 5, 2012

Short pick today:

Barcelona rest some players today when they host Benfica. Leo Messi will play though and he will of course create chances, goals, and most interestingly for my pick – corners. Benfica need to win to make sure to qualify for the next stage and will probably try to counter when they get the opportunity.

I pick over 10.5 corners here. Bet365 offers 2.00 which I think is worth a try. I will also pick a parlay from this game: Over 10.5 corners and BTTS (both teams to score). I am confident of a Barcelona (Messi) goal and since Barcelona rest some players and Benfica probably need a win the away team should score at least once as well.

The corner bet was not my original idea. It has been stolen from @Brisby83 without asking…

UPDATE: The squads have been out there for a while, but I haven’t had time to comment on them until now. Barcelona play a reserve squad today, but that doesn’t have to be bad for my pick. The Barcelona reserves usually have many corners in their games and their style of play is the same as the first team. The offensive strength is still huge. The fact that Barcelona rest their stars should open up things for Benfica as well and I believe in many corners and goals in this game.

——————————————

Game: Barcelona – Benfica

Bet: Over 10.5 corners & Parlay: Corners and BTTS,

Odds: 2.00 & 3.22 (Bet365)

Value: 3 + 1.5 units

Result: 2-10 in corners, but 0-0 in goals, +1.5 units (will be marked as a win as always when total win is above +1 units)

Units in total: -8.37

Total wins-voids-losses: 20-5-16

From → Pick of the day

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