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Pick of the day #39: AEK Athens – PAS Giannina

December 2, 2012

AEK Athens is a club in financial crisis and the team has performed awful this year with only eight points in twelve games. They sit rock bottom in the league and their form does not seem to improve. In their last six games they have two wins and four losses.

PAS Giannina on the other hand have four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six games. They are placed 7th in the league with eighteen points in twelve games.

I will do more research tomorrow, but using these facts alone I must say that PAS are undervalued here. Pinnacle offers 2.97 for the DnB bet and I take that one directly. I will look more into the team news tomorrow and will probably add a few units then. This post will be updated.

UPDATE:

The odds for a DnB away win at Pinnacle has gone down dramatically and is now down at 2.54, which indicates great value in my bet. I will probably not put in any more units because of the decrease in odds.

From what I’ve read PAS will use a similar team as last game (a 1-0 win at home to O. Crete) and have no injured regular first team players. In AEK there are of course great turbulence with internal attacks. To this game they have a few players out. From what I’ve read they are Lagos (mf 10/0), Kourellas (mf 4/0), Cordero (mf 10/0) and Katsikokeras (att 3/0).

——————————————

Game: AEK Athens – PAS Giannina

Bet: PAS Giannina (DnB)

Odds: 2.97 (Pinnacle)

Value: 5 units, but perhaps more to come…

Result: 2-1, -5 units

Units in total: -14.19

Total wins-voids-losses: 18-5-16

From → Pick of the day

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