Pick of the day #23: FC Copenhagen – FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen is the big team in Scandinavian football and also top the Danish Superliga with 35 points in 16 games (10-5-1 and 36-14 in goals). At home they have 7-1-0 (23-4 in goals).
Today Copenhagen face FC Midtjylland who have played way below expectations this season. Last season Midtjylland finished third in the league and qualified for Europe, but the current season has been much worse. They are only placed 8th in the table (of 12 teams) with 4-6-6 in game stats and 22-26 in goals. Away from home they are worst in the league with 1-1-5 (11-17). The start of the season wasn’t that bad with a narrow loss against Copenhagen (see below). The week after that they defeated top contenders FC Nordsjælland at home (3-1) and thereafter they got 2-2 away to AC Horsens and won against Randers FC with 2-1 at home.
But after the first four matches, FC Midtjylland have struggled, and with only two wins, five draws, and five defeats in the last 12 rounds, is their early top spot now replaced with a location not far from the relegation zone. However, the form seems to find its way back to the team in the last couple of games. In the league they have three draws and one win (away to Aalborg) in the last four games and also a cup win away to FC Nordsjælland (who I don’t believe focused on that game with Champions League games around the corner). Despite FC Midtjylland slight increase in form I do not think they stand a chance in Copenhagen. After all, their season has been awful overall and today they are up against a superior team. I stick to the Asian -1 bet and only four units since FC Midtjylland have some quality after all. Moreover, my betting form has not been great lately.
As I indicated above the two teams met in the first game of the season. In that game FC Midtjylland had 2-0 and one more player on the pitch up to minute 74, but lost with 4-2 anyway after two late goals from Cesar Santin and one each from Andreas Cornelius and Bryan Oviedo!
Copenhagen’s squad to the game:
1. Kim Christensen, 2. Lars Jacobsen, 3. Pierre Bengtsson, 4. Kris Stadsgaard, 6. Claudemir, 8. Christian Grindheim, 11. Cesar Santin, 15. Michael Jakobsen, 16. Thomas Kristensen, 17. Ragnar Sigurdsson, 18. Nicolai Jørgensen, 19. Rurik Gislason, 20. Martin Vingaard, 25. Christoffer Remmer, 27. Thomas Delaney, 29. Andreas Cornelius, 31. Jakob Busk, 32. Danny Amankwaa
A team full of quality. Just a few are Brazilian Cesar Santin – a clever forward with a lot of tricks. Andreas Cornelius – a young and upcoming power forward that have struggled to score in the last couple of games but still provides physical danger up front. Kris Stadsgaard – a former Rosenborg and Malaga central defender with great quality and split vision.
Players out: GK Johan Wiland (injury), FW Igor Vetokele (injury), MF/FW Christian Bolanos (injury)
1. Jonas Lössl , 2. Santiago Villafane, 5. Benjamin Kibebe , 6. Jesper Juelsgård , 8. Petter Andersson , 9. Morten ”Duncan” Rasmussen , 10. Tim Janssen , 14. Jakob Haugaard , 15. Jesper Lauridsen, 17. Mads Albæk, 18. Erik Sviatchenko, 19. Marco Larsen, 20. Kristian Ipsa, 27. Pione Sisto, 32. Kristian Bak, 36. Rilwan Hassan, 37. Mads Pedersen, 43. Izunna Uzochukwu
Players out: DF Kolja Afriyie (suspended) and five players due to injury. See the Players out-link.
- Nice – Toulouse: over 2 goals (Asian) @1.671 (Pinnacle). 3 units. RESULT: 1-0, -3 units.
Game: FC Copenhagen – FC Midtjylland
Bet: Copenhagen -1 (Asian handicap)
Odds: 1.694 (Pinnacle)
Value: 4 units
Result: 2-1. Void
Units in total: -2.36
Total wins-voids-losses: 11-3-9