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Pick of the day #9: PSV Eindhoven – Heracles Almelo

November 3, 2012

I take a corner bet to get back on the winning track.

As far as I know over 5 corners have been reached in all first halves in the home games for PSV this season. Over the whole 90 minutes there have been 14.6 (10.6+4) corners in PSV’s home games this season. I haven’t found the numbers for first halves only, but according to my experience they usually have less corners in the second half when they are ahead in goals. Heracles have only 7.7 (4.0+3.7) corners in their away games so far, but I believe that they will be put under much more pressure away to PSV compared to an average Eredivisie game.

PSV will start with Narsingh, Lens, and Mertens in attack and these players will attack the away defence constantly and create corners. Mark van Bommel is still not match fit and Atiba Hutchinson will play as a central midfielder. Hutchinson is a player that plays slightly more offensive than van Bommel and corner-wise this is not at all negative.

My other picks today are Cracovia KrakowSandecja Nowy Sacs: Asian Handicap -1 @1.65 (5 units) and an Asian Handicap / corner combination in the DortmundStuttgart game: The bet is placed as a parlay with the combination of Dortmund win (AH -1 @1.65) and Dortmund first to 5 corners @1.30. The combination gives a total odds of 2.145! I put 4 units on this bet.

Results summary: My main pick went well! We saw six corners (3+3) in the first half and I cashed in just over seven units. Unfortunately the other two did not turn out that good. Borussia Dortmund only got 0-0 and I lost 4 units there. Cracovia Krakow won with only one goal (1-0) and I got the wager back. Thus, +3 units today.

Ola Toivonen is injured but that hasn’t stopped PSV from creating corners in recent games.

Game:  PSV Eindhoven – Heracles Almelo

Bet:  Asian Handicap: Over 5 corners first half (the bet needs to be placed with 4 units over 4.5 corners @1.75 and 3 units over 5.5 corners @2.37 since Asian Handicap over 5 goals isn’t available).

Odds: 2.016 (Bet365)

Value: 7/10 units

Result: +7.11 units

Units in total: +14.56

Total wins-voids-losses: 6-0-3

From → Pick of the day

One Comment
  1. Johan permalink

    Look like great picks. I will back you!

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