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Pick of the day #2: Zwolle – PSV

October 27, 2012

There are a number of interesting possible picks in this game, but as usual I will go for a bet on corners when PSV’s first team is involved. This year I placed multiple bets on corners in PSV’s matches and haven’t lost yet. Especially at home they tend to create a lot of corners. Tomorrow they will play away against a struggling Zwolle and I believe that they will attack from the first minute. With players like Dries Mertens and Jeremain Lens they will always attack their opponents and therefore create corners. Usually PSV attack most frequently in the first half which are therefore usually corner-rich. If they are ahead early in the game there might be a less offensive play in the second half. The fact that they play away will not affect too much since they are simply two or three classes better than Zwolle. Moreover, Zwolle’s form at home is awful, four losses in four games.

In nine Eredivisie games so far PSV have had 75 corner kicks. That means that they create 8.33 corner per game in average. In their last game in Europa league – against Swedish side AIK – they created nine corners and conceded five. Six corners were reached after around 25 minutes.  Adding Zwolles 43 corners (4.78 in average) I am rather convinced that there will be more than five corner kicks  in the first half. I stick to an Asian Handicap bet however. This means that I will get my wager back if there will be exactly five corners in the first half.

Another game that will involve a lot of corners is probably Real Madrid Castilla – Gijon. Both teams usually play games with a lot of corner kicks, especially the home team. Over 10.5 corners is available at around 2.00! Athletic Bilbao – Getafe is another game that will include a lot of corners according to the statistics. Over 11.5 corners is available at around 1.80.

EDIT: I did put one unit in both above games. They both resulted in a loss…

Game: Zwolle – PSV

Bet: Over 5 corners in first half (Asian handicap)

Odds: 1.975 (Bet365)

Value: 6/10 units

Result: Win, the line of six corners was reached after exactly 30 minutes. +5.85 Units

Units in total: +8.90

Total wins-voids-losses: 2-0-0


From → Pick of the day

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