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Large proportion of away wins in Ireland

September 29, 2012

When I was analysing today’s games I came across some very interesting and surprising numbers. In the 2012 season of the Irish Airtricity League, 173 games have been played so far. From those only 54 (31.2%) games have ended in home wins, 39 (36.4%) have ended in draws, and 56 (32.4%) in away wins. Thus, there have been more away wins than home wins and also a very large number of draws. I haven’t seen anything like that before and decided to dig further into this.

Last season there was a high percentage of home losses as well in Ireland. The numbers were (home wins, draws, losses) 74 – 39 – 67 (41.1% – 21.7% – 37.2%).

Below the numbers are shown for some European leagues (only the top league in each country is shown):

League Season Home wins Draws Away wins Percentage
Austria 2012/13 18 6 21 40 13 47
Austria 2011/12 76 63 41 42 35 23
England 2012/13 22 17 10 44.9 34.7 20.4
England 2011/12 171 93 116 45 24.5 30.5
Estonia 2012 61 32 54 41.5 21.8 36.7
Estonia 2011 75 31 74 41.7 17.2 41.1
Germany 2012/13 18 13 15 39.1 28.3 32.6
Germany 2011/12 139 79 88 45.4 25.8 28.8
Ireland 2012/13 54 39 56 31.2 36.4 32.4
Ireland 2011/12 74 39 67 41.1 21.7 37.2
Italy 2012/13 20 13 17 40 26 34
Italy 2011/12 173 111 96 45.5 29.2 25.3
Lithuania 2012 75 24 52 49.7 15.9 34.4
Lithuania 2011 78 45 75 39.4 22.7 37.9
Spain 2012/13 27 11 12 54 22 24
Spain 2011/12 188 94 98 49.5 24.7 25.8
Sweden 2012 81 58 53 42.2 30.2 27.6
Sweden 2011 126 45 69 52.5 18.8 28.8
Wales 2012/13 20 10 12 47.6 23.8 28.6
Wales 2011 88 39 65 45.8 20.3 33.9

We can observe that the Austrian Bundesliga has shown an extreme proportion of away wins so far, but it is still early in the season and the numbers will probably even out as the season goes on. But it is astonishing that 21 out of 45 games have ended in away wins.

The overall trend seems to be that the lower the quality of the league the larger the proportion of away wins. Both in Estonia and Lithuania the numbers suggest that this is the case. This year the number of draws are much higher in Ireland than last season and also larger than in both Estonia and Lithuania. The Irish League seems to have even out the current season. I believe that the leagues in Estonia and Lithuania are very uneven with a few top teams that win a large fraction of their games – both at home and away.

All the stats are taken from scibet.com.

From → Analysis

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