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I had a hypothesis

August 30, 2012

I have always believed that there are in general many goals in the second leg in home/away knockout games. The reason for this is that the game often loosens up in the second half where one team must score and draws give no points. I guess that this have been thoroughly investigated before, but I have decided to write down some statistics in such games when time permits. In particular, is it possible to find any patterns that can be used for betting purposes?

Starting out with the Champions Leagues games today my hypothesis is not strengthened, but there have only been five games so far and a lot more must be played before any general claims can be made.

results champions league aug 29 2012

We see that in the first round there were in total thirteen goals in the five matches. Six of them were in the first half. Thus 54% of the goals were scored in the second half. In the second round there were only nine goals. Of these nine goals four were scored in the first half. Thus 56% of the goals were scored in the second half. To conclude, the results in today’s games were not in line with my hypothesis. Let us wait for more games to find interesting general conclusions.

I must end with this amazing picture taken from @LotitoClaudio. Berbagate!

waiting for Berbatov

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